Compared Statistics
Based on goals, clean sheets and form of the last 10 matches
Algorithmic Probabilities
Recent Form
Uruguay
Spain
Special Markets
Exact Scores — Top 6
Probabilities calculated by bivariate Poisson model (last 10 matches)
Tendances par mi-temps
Expected Goals (average xG)
Uruguay | Spain
Stats based on 3 match(es) for Uruguay, 6 match(es) for Spain
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Uruguay vs Spain?
Our algorithm gives Spain as the dominant scenario with 46.39% probability. Detail: Uruguay win 21.74%, draw 31.87%, Spain win 46.39%. Confidence index: 3.0/10.
What is the best bet on Uruguay vs Spain?
Our model identifies a value bet on 2 Extérieur (odds 2.28), with an edge of +2.53% — the difference between our calculated probability and the bookmaker's implied probability.
Will there be more than 2.5 goals in this match?
Over 2.5 probability: 20.4% / Under 2.5: 79.6%. Expected xG: Uruguay 0.56, Spain 0.99.
Will both teams score?
BTTS Yes: 25.6%. Recent form: Uruguay LDD, Spain WWWWW.
How to interpret the confidence index?
The confidence index (out of 10) measures the quality of cross-referenced statistical signals — Dixon-Coles, ELO and Poisson. A score ≥ 7 indicates strong concordant signals. This match scores 3.0/10.
Statistical data for informational purposes only — no result guaranteed. 18+ · Responsible gambling.
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