Based on goals, clean sheets and form of the last 10 matches
Probabilities calculated by bivariate Poisson model (last 10 matches)
Uruguay | Cape Verde Islands
Stats based on 3 match(es) for Uruguay, 4 match(es) for Cape Verde Islands
Our algorithm gives Cape Verde Islands as the dominant scenario with 40.93% probability. Detail: Uruguay win 33.48%, draw 25.59%, Cape Verde Islands win 40.93%. Confidence index: 2.8/10.
Our model identifies a value bet on 2 Extérieur (odds 2.59), with an edge of +2.32% — the difference between our calculated probability and the bookmaker's implied probability.
Over 2.5 probability: 38.6% / Under 2.5: 61.4%. Expected xG: Uruguay 1.04, Cape Verde Islands 1.19.
BTTS Yes: 43.4%. Recent form: Uruguay LDD, Cape Verde Islands DDDD.
The confidence index (out of 10) measures the quality of cross-referenced statistical signals — Dixon-Coles, ELO and Poisson. A score ≥ 7 indicates strong concordant signals. This match scores 2.8/10.
Statistical data for informational purposes only — no result guaranteed. 18+ · Responsible gambling.
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