Spain
Spain
En direct 0 - 0
4-0
Finished
Coupe du Monde Betclic
Saudi Arabia
Saudi Arabia

Compared Statistics

Spain
Saudi Arabia

Based on goals, clean sheets and form of the last 10 matches

Algorithmic Probabilities

1 — Home
77.08% Odds 1.38 ✓ Correct
N — Draw
15.74% Odds 6.73 +0.88%
2 — Away
7.17% Odds 14.78 +0.4%

Recent Form

Spain
W W W W W
1.9 goals/match
79% clean sheet
10.0 Momentum
-12% Fatigue
Saudi Arabia
D L D
0.3 goals/match
30% clean sheet
2.4 Momentum

Special Markets

⚽ Number of goals — Over / Under 2.5
📈
Over 2.5
44.4%
📉
Under 2.5
✗ Missed
55.6%
🎯 Both teams to score — BTTS
✅
BTTS Oui
28.4%
❌
BTTS Non
✓ Correct
71.6%
🛡 Double Chance — Bet on 2 outcomes
✓ Correct
1X
92.8%
Spain ou Nul
X2
22.9%
Nul ou Saudi Arabia
12
84.3%
Spain ou Saudi Arabia

Exact Scores — Top 6

✗ Missed
1-0
18.4%
2-0
18%
3-0
12.2%
0-0
7.7%
2-1
7.4%
1-1
6.3%

Probabilities calculated by bivariate Poisson model (last 10 matches)

Tendances par mi-temps

Spain
1ère MT 1.0 buts
2ème MT 0.9 buts
〰️ Régulière
Saudi Arabia
1ère MT 0.3 buts
2ème MT 0.0 buts

Expected Goals (average xG)

2.04
0.41

Spain  |  Saudi Arabia

1990
ELO Spain
Spain ELO favourite
1645
ELO Saudi Arabia

Stats based on 6 match(es) for Spain, 3 match(es) for Saudi Arabia

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Spain vs Saudi Arabia?

Our algorithm gives Spain as the dominant scenario with 77.08% probability. Detail: Spain win 77.08%, draw 15.74%, Saudi Arabia win 7.17%. Confidence index: 6.8/10.

What is the best bet on Spain vs Saudi Arabia?

Our model identifies a value bet on 1 Domicile (odds 1.38), with an edge of +4.62% — the difference between our calculated probability and the bookmaker's implied probability.

Will there be more than 2.5 goals in this match?

Over 2.5 probability: 44.4% / Under 2.5: 55.6%. Expected xG: Spain 2.04, Saudi Arabia 0.41.

Will both teams score?

BTTS Yes: 28.4%. Recent form: Spain WWWWW, Saudi Arabia DLD.

How to interpret the confidence index?

The confidence index (out of 10) measures the quality of cross-referenced statistical signals — Dixon-Coles, ELO and Poisson. A score ≥ 7 indicates strong concordant signals. This match scores 6.8/10.

Statistical data for informational purposes only — no result guaranteed. 18+ · Responsible gambling.

AI Confidence Index
6.8 /10
Strong signal
Payout simulator
Which outcome do you want to bet on?
The % = our model estimate based on both teams' stats.
I stake 20 €
If Win Spain — you get back (stake + winnings)
— Net gain
if won
— You lose
if missed

⚠️ Indicative simulation only — no result guaranteed. Please gamble responsibly.

Where to bet — Comparison

Betclic
Link not configured 1 Domicile
1.38
Winamax
Link not configured 1 Domicile
1.38
PMU
Link not configured 1 Domicile
1.38

18+ · Gambling involves risks · Gamble responsibly

Community Tips

See all → →

No tips yet. Be the first! — + Post a tip

Alertes value bets