Compared Statistics
Based on goals, clean sheets and form of the last 10 matches
Algorithmic Probabilities
Recent Form
Spain
Argentina
Special Markets
Exact Scores — Top 6
Probabilities calculated by bivariate Poisson model (last 10 matches)
Tendances par mi-temps
Expected Goals (average xG)
Spain | Argentina
Stats based on 7 match(es) for Spain, 7 match(es) for Argentina
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Spain vs Argentina?
Our algorithm gives Spain as the dominant scenario with 47.07% probability. Detail: Spain win 47.07%, draw 27.35%, Argentina win 25.58%. Confidence index: 2.1/10.
What is the best bet on Spain vs Argentina?
Our model identifies a value bet on 1 Domicile (odds 2.25), with an edge of +2.63% — the difference between our calculated probability and the bookmaker's implied probability.
Will there be more than 2.5 goals in this match?
Over 2.5 probability: 30.8% / Under 2.5: 69.2%. Expected xG: Spain 1.18, Argentina 0.77.
Will both teams score?
BTTS Yes: 35.5%. Recent form: Spain WWWWW, Argentina WDWDW.
How to interpret the confidence index?
The confidence index (out of 10) measures the quality of cross-referenced statistical signals — Dixon-Coles, ELO and Poisson. A score ≥ 7 indicates strong concordant signals. This match scores 2.1/10.
Statistical data for informational purposes only — no result guaranteed. 18+ · Responsible gambling.
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