Based on goals, clean sheets and form of the last 10 matches
South Korea
Probabilities calculated by bivariate Poisson model (last 10 matches)
South Africa | South Korea
Stats based on 4 match(es) for South Africa, 3 match(es) for South Korea
Our algorithm gives South Africa as the dominant scenario with 40.36% probability. Detail: South Africa win 40.36%, draw 32.54%, South Korea win 27.1%. Confidence index: 1.8/10.
Our model identifies a value bet on 1 Domicile (odds 2.63), with an edge of +2.34% — the difference between our calculated probability and the bookmaker's implied probability.
Over 2.5 probability: 20.6% / Under 2.5: 79.4%. Expected xG: South Africa 0.89, South Korea 0.66.
BTTS Yes: 27.2%. Recent form: South Africa LWDL, South Korea LLW.
The confidence index (out of 10) measures the quality of cross-referenced statistical signals — Dixon-Coles, ELO and Poisson. A score ≥ 7 indicates strong concordant signals. This match scores 1.8/10.
Statistical data for informational purposes only — no result guaranteed. 18+ · Responsible gambling.
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