Compared Statistics
Based on goals, clean sheets and form of the last 10 matches
Algorithmic Probabilities
Special Markets
Exact Scores — Top 6
Probabilities calculated by bivariate Poisson model (last 10 matches)
Expected Goals (average xG)
Sevilla FC | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Sevilla FC vs Rayo Vallecano de Madrid?
Our algorithm gives Sevilla FC as the dominant scenario with 42.01% probability. Detail: Sevilla FC win 42.01%, draw 22.79%, Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win 35.2%. Confidence index: 1.8/10.
What is the best bet on Sevilla FC vs Rayo Vallecano de Madrid?
Our model identifies a value bet on 2 Extérieur (odds 3.45), with an edge of +6.21% — the difference between our calculated probability and the bookmaker's implied probability.
Will there be more than 2.5 goals in this match?
Over 2.5 probability: 50.7% / Under 2.5: 49.3%. Expected xG: Sevilla FC 1.43, Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 1.28.
Will both teams score?
BTTS Yes: 53.3%. Recent form: Sevilla FC , Rayo Vallecano de Madrid .
How to interpret the confidence index?
The confidence index (out of 10) measures the quality of cross-referenced statistical signals — Dixon-Coles, ELO and Poisson. A score ≥ 7 indicates strong concordant signals. This match scores 1.8/10.
Statistical data for informational purposes only — no result guaranteed. 18+ · Responsible gambling.
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