SE Palmeiras
SE Palmeiras
En direct 0 - 0
VS
Copa Libertadores Betclic
Club Cerro Porteño
Club Cerro Porteño

Compared Statistics

SE Palmeiras
Club Cerro Porteño

Based on goals, clean sheets and form of the last 10 matches

Algorithmic Probabilities

1 — Home
43.28% Odds 1.29 -34.24%
N — Draw
27.19% Odds 5.15 +7.77%
2 — Away
29.53% Odds 10.44 +19.95%

Recent Form

SE Palmeiras
W L W W W
2.0 goals/match
47% clean sheet
7.3 Momentum
Club Cerro Porteño
W W W D W
1.1 goals/match
72% clean sheet
10.0 Momentum

Special Markets

⚽ Number of goals — Over / Under 2.5
📈
Over 2.5
32.6%
📉
Under 2.5
67.4%
🎯 Both teams to score — BTTS
✅
BTTS Oui
38%
❌
BTTS Non
62%
🛡 Double Chance — Bet on 2 outcomes
1X
70.5%
SE Palmeiras ou Nul
X2
56.7%
Nul ou Club Cerro Porteño
Recommended
12
72.8%
SE Palmeiras ou Club Cerro Porteño

Exact Scores — Top 6

⭐ Top pick
1-0
16.8%
0-1
13.3%
0-0
11.8%
1-1
11.7%
2-0
8.7%
2-1
7.6%

Probabilities calculated by bivariate Poisson model (last 10 matches)

Tendances par mi-temps

SE Palmeiras
1ère MT 1.0 buts
2ème MT 1.0 buts
〰️ Régulière
Club Cerro Porteño
1ère MT 0.2 buts
2ème MT 0.9 buts
📈 Forte en 2ème MT

Expected Goals (average xG)

1.14
0.87

SE Palmeiras  |  Club Cerro Porteño

1890
ELO SE Palmeiras
SE Palmeiras ELO favourite
1760
ELO Club Cerro Porteño

Stats based on 10 match(es) for SE Palmeiras, 6 match(es) for Club Cerro Porteño

Frequently asked questions

Who will win SE Palmeiras vs Club Cerro Porteño?

Our algorithm gives SE Palmeiras as the dominant scenario with 43.28% probability. Detail: SE Palmeiras win 43.28%, draw 27.19%, Club Cerro Porteño win 29.53%. Confidence index: 4.7/10.

What is the best bet on SE Palmeiras vs Club Cerro Porteño?

Our model identifies a value bet on 2 Extérieur (odds 10.44), with an edge of +19.95% — the difference between our calculated probability and the bookmaker's implied probability.

Will there be more than 2.5 goals in this match?

Over 2.5 probability: 32.6% / Under 2.5: 67.4%. Expected xG: SE Palmeiras 1.14, Club Cerro Porteño 0.87.

Will both teams score?

BTTS Yes: 38%. Recent form: SE Palmeiras WLWWW, Club Cerro Porteño WWWDW.

How to interpret the confidence index?

The confidence index (out of 10) measures the quality of cross-referenced statistical signals — Dixon-Coles, ELO and Poisson. A score ≥ 7 indicates strong concordant signals. This match scores 4.7/10.

Statistical data for informational purposes only — no result guaranteed. 18+ · Responsible gambling.

AI Confidence Index
4.7 /10
Moderate signal
Payout simulator
Which outcome do you want to bet on?
The % = our model estimate based on both teams' stats.
€
AI advised stake
—
I stake 20 €
If Win Club Cerro Porteño — you get back (stake + winnings)
— Net gain
if won
— You lose
if missed

⚠️ Indicative simulation only — no result guaranteed. Please gamble responsibly.

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