Compared Statistics
Based on goals, clean sheets and form of the last 10 matches
Algorithmic Probabilities
Recent Form
São Paulo FC
Santos FC
Special Markets
Exact Scores — Top 6
Probabilities calculated by bivariate Poisson model (last 10 matches)
Tendances par mi-temps
Expected Goals (average xG)
São Paulo FC | Santos FC
Stats based on 10 match(es) for São Paulo FC, 10 match(es) for Santos FC
Frequently asked questions
Who will win São Paulo FC vs Santos FC?
Our algorithm gives Santos FC as the dominant scenario with 38.2% probability. Detail: São Paulo FC win 37.53%, draw 24.27%, Santos FC win 38.2%. Confidence index: 1.0/10.
What is the best bet on São Paulo FC vs Santos FC?
Our model identifies a value bet on 2 Extérieur (odds 2.77), with an edge of +2.1% — the difference between our calculated probability and the bookmaker's implied probability.
Will there be more than 2.5 goals in this match?
Over 2.5 probability: 44.1% / Under 2.5: 55.9%. Expected xG: São Paulo FC 1.21, Santos FC 1.23.
Will both teams score?
BTTS Yes: 48.2%. Recent form: São Paulo FC DLLDL, Santos FC DLWLL.
How to interpret the confidence index?
The confidence index (out of 10) measures the quality of cross-referenced statistical signals — Dixon-Coles, ELO and Poisson. A score ≥ 7 indicates strong concordant signals. This match scores 1.0/10.
Statistical data for informational purposes only — no result guaranteed. 18+ · Responsible gambling.
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