Qui va gagner São Paulo FC vs Coritiba FBC ?

Selon notre modèle IA, São Paulo FC est le scénario le plus probable avec 53.95% de probabilité. Détail : São Paulo FC 53.95%, match nul 25.36%, Coritiba FBC 20.69%. Indice de confiance algorithmique : 3.1/10.

Y aura-t-il plus de 2.5 buts dans São Paulo FC vs Coritiba FBC ?

Notre modèle de Poisson bivarié donne 33.5% de probabilité pour Over 2.5 buts et 66.5% pour Under 2.5. Les xG (expected goals) attendus sont : São Paulo FC 1.35 buts, Coritiba FBC 0.69 buts.

Les deux équipes vont-elles marquer dans São Paulo FC vs Coritiba FBC ?

La probabilité Both Teams To Score (BTTS Oui) est de 35.6% selon notre modèle. Notre modèle suggère qu'une des deux équipes pourrait ne pas marquer. Forme récente : São Paulo FC DLLDL, Coritiba FBC LDLLW.

Comment SportsData calcule-t-il ses pronostics football ?

SportsData combine le modèle Dixon-Coles (force offensive × vulnérabilité défensive adverse), le classement ELO (force relative long terme via ClubELO) et une distribution de Poisson bivariée pour les marchés Over/Under, BTTS et scores exacts. Les données sont issues des 10 derniers matchs de chaque équipe via football-data.org, actualisées chaque matin.

São Paulo FC vs Coritiba FBC

São Paulo FC

En direct 0 - 0

16/08/2026 à 02:00

Brasileirao Betclic

Coritiba FBC

Compared Statistics

São Paulo FC

Coritiba FBC

Based on goals, clean sheets and form of the last 10 matches

Algorithmic Probabilities

1 — Home

53.95% Odds 1.96 0%

N — Draw

25.36% Odds 4.18 0%

2 — Away

20.69% Odds 5.12 0%

Recent Form

São Paulo FC

D L L D L

1.0 goals/match

7% clean sheet

1.8 Momentum

Coritiba FBC

L D L L W

1.0 goals/match

29% clean sheet

0.9 Momentum

-7% Fatigue

Special Markets

⚽ Number of goals — Over / Under 2.5

📈

Over 2.5

33.5%

📉

Under 2.5

66.5%

🎯 Both teams to score — BTTS

✅

BTTS Oui

35.6%

❌

BTTS Non

64.4%

🛡 Double Chance — Bet on 2 outcomes

Recommended

79.3%

São Paulo FC ou Nul

46.1%

Nul ou Coritiba FBC

74.6%

São Paulo FC ou Coritiba FBC

Exact Scores — Top 6

⭐ Top pick

1-0

18.9%

2-0

11.8%

0-0

11.5%

1-1

10.7%

0-1

10.5%

2-1

8.2%

Probabilities calculated by bivariate Poisson model (last 10 matches)

Tendances par mi-temps

São Paulo FC

1ère MT 0.5 buts

2ème MT 0.5 buts

〰️ Régulière

Coritiba FBC

1ère MT 0.4 buts

2ème MT 0.5 buts

📈 Forte en 2ème MT

Expected Goals (average xG)

1.35

0.69

São Paulo FC | Coritiba FBC

1820

ELO São Paulo FC

São Paulo FC ELO favourite

1700

ELO Coritiba FBC

Stats based on 10 match(es) for São Paulo FC, 10 match(es) for Coritiba FBC

Frequently asked questions

Who will win São Paulo FC vs Coritiba FBC?

Our algorithm gives São Paulo FC as the dominant scenario with 53.95% probability. Detail: São Paulo FC win 53.95%, draw 25.36%, Coritiba FBC win 20.69%. Confidence index: 3.1/10.

Will there be more than 2.5 goals in this match?

Over 2.5 probability: 33.5% / Under 2.5: 66.5%. Expected xG: São Paulo FC 1.35, Coritiba FBC 0.69.

Will both teams score?

BTTS Yes: 35.6%. Recent form: São Paulo FC DLLDL, Coritiba FBC LDLLW.

How to interpret the confidence index?

The confidence index (out of 10) measures the quality of cross-referenced statistical signals — Dixon-Coles, ELO and Poisson. A score ≥ 7 indicates strong concordant signals. This match scores 3.1/10.

Statistical data for informational purposes only — no result guaranteed. 18+ · Responsible gambling.

AI Confidence Index

3.1 /10

Weak signal

Payout simulator

Which outcome do you want to bet on?

The % = our model estimate based on both teams' stats.

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If Win São Paulo FC — you get back (stake + winnings)

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⚠️ Indicative simulation only — no result guaranteed. Please gamble responsibly.

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