Based on goals, clean sheets and form of the last 10 matches
Real Racing Club de Santander
Villarreal CF
Probabilities calculated by bivariate Poisson model (last 10 matches)
Real Racing Club de Santander | Villarreal CF
Stats based on 0 match(es) for Real Racing Club de Santander, 8 match(es) for Villarreal CF
Our algorithm gives Real Racing Club de Santander as the dominant scenario with 42.34% probability. Detail: Real Racing Club de Santander win 42.34%, draw 22.77%, Villarreal CF win 34.89%. Confidence index: 1.2/10.
Our model identifies a value bet on 2 Extérieur (odds 3.04), with an edge of +2% — the difference between our calculated probability and the bookmaker's implied probability.
Over 2.5 probability: 50.7% / Under 2.5: 49.3%. Expected xG: Real Racing Club de Santander 1.43, Villarreal CF 1.27.
BTTS Yes: 53.3%. Recent form: Real Racing Club de Santander , Villarreal CF LLLLL.
The confidence index (out of 10) measures the quality of cross-referenced statistical signals — Dixon-Coles, ELO and Poisson. A score ≥ 7 indicates strong concordant signals. This match scores 1.2/10.
Statistical data for informational purposes only — no result guaranteed. 18+ · Responsible gambling.
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