Based on goals, clean sheets and form of the last 10 matches
Probabilities calculated by bivariate Poisson model (last 10 matches)
Real Madrid CF | Real Sociedad de Fútbol
Stats based on 38 match(es) for Real Madrid CF, 38 match(es) for Real Sociedad de Fútbol
Our algorithm gives Real Madrid CF as the dominant scenario with 71.89% probability. Detail: Real Madrid CF win 71.89%, draw 15.05%, Real Sociedad de Fútbol win 13.06%. Confidence index: 5.7/10.
Our model identifies a value bet on 1 Domicile (odds 1.40), with an edge of +0.46% — the difference between our calculated probability and the bookmaker's implied probability.
Over 2.5 probability: 64.6% / Under 2.5: 35.4%. Expected xG: Real Madrid CF 2.43, Real Sociedad de Fútbol 0.90.
BTTS Yes: 53.3%. Recent form: Real Madrid CF , Real Sociedad de Fútbol .
The confidence index (out of 10) measures the quality of cross-referenced statistical signals — Dixon-Coles, ELO and Poisson. A score ≥ 7 indicates strong concordant signals. This match scores 5.7/10.
Statistical data for informational purposes only — no result guaranteed. 18+ · Responsible gambling.
No tips yet. Be the first! — + Post a tip