Based on goals, clean sheets and form of the last 10 matches
Probabilities calculated by bivariate Poisson model (last 10 matches)
Real Betis Balompié | Real Sociedad de Fútbol
Our algorithm gives Real Betis Balompié as the dominant scenario with 50.44% probability. Detail: Real Betis Balompié win 50.44%, draw 21.85%, Real Sociedad de Fútbol win 27.71%. Confidence index: 2.6/10.
Our model identifies a value bet on 1 Domicile (odds 2.13), with an edge of +3.49% — the difference between our calculated probability and the bookmaker's implied probability.
Over 2.5 probability: 51.8% / Under 2.5: 48.2%. Expected xG: Real Betis Balompié 1.62, Real Sociedad de Fútbol 1.12.
BTTS Yes: 52.7%. Recent form: Real Betis Balompié , Real Sociedad de Fútbol .
The confidence index (out of 10) measures the quality of cross-referenced statistical signals — Dixon-Coles, ELO and Poisson. A score ≥ 7 indicates strong concordant signals. This match scores 2.6/10.
Statistical data for informational purposes only — no result guaranteed. 18+ · Responsible gambling.
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