Compared Statistics
Based on goals, clean sheets and form of the last 10 matches
Algorithmic Probabilities
Recent Form
Portugal
Uzbekistan
Special Markets
Exact Scores — Top 6
Probabilities calculated by bivariate Poisson model (last 10 matches)
Tendances par mi-temps
Expected Goals (average xG)
Portugal | Uzbekistan
Stats based on 5 match(es) for Portugal, 3 match(es) for Uzbekistan
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Portugal vs Uzbekistan?
Our algorithm gives Portugal as the dominant scenario with 82.69% probability. Detail: Portugal win 82.69%, draw 10.59%, Uzbekistan win 6.72%. Confidence index: 7.0/10.
What is the best bet on Portugal vs Uzbekistan?
Our model identifies a value bet on 1 Domicile (odds 1.28), with an edge of +4.57% — the difference between our calculated probability and the bookmaker's implied probability.
Will there be more than 2.5 goals in this match?
Over 2.5 probability: 68.3% / Under 2.5: 31.7%. Expected xG: Portugal 2.86, Uzbekistan 0.67.
Will both teams score?
BTTS Yes: 45.3%. Recent form: Portugal LWDWD, Uzbekistan LLL.
How to interpret the confidence index?
The confidence index (out of 10) measures the quality of cross-referenced statistical signals — Dixon-Coles, ELO and Poisson. A score ≥ 7 indicates strong concordant signals. This match scores 7.0/10.
Statistical data for informational purposes only — no result guaranteed. 18+ · Responsible gambling.
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