Based on goals, clean sheets and form of the last 10 matches
Probabilities calculated by bivariate Poisson model (last 10 matches)
Parma Calcio 1913 | Cagliari Calcio
Our algorithm gives Parma Calcio 1913 as the dominant scenario with 44.26% probability. Detail: Parma Calcio 1913 win 44.26%, draw 22.63%, Cagliari Calcio win 33.11%. Confidence index: 1.9/10.
Our model identifies a value bet on 1 Domicile (odds 2.66), with an edge of +6.67% — the difference between our calculated probability and the bookmaker's implied probability.
Over 2.5 probability: 50.9% / Under 2.5: 49.1%. Expected xG: Parma Calcio 1913 1.48, Cagliari Calcio 1.23.
BTTS Yes: 53.2%. Recent form: Parma Calcio 1913 , Cagliari Calcio .
The confidence index (out of 10) measures the quality of cross-referenced statistical signals — Dixon-Coles, ELO and Poisson. A score ≥ 7 indicates strong concordant signals. This match scores 1.9/10.
Statistical data for informational purposes only — no result guaranteed. 18+ · Responsible gambling.
No tips yet. Be the first! — + Post a tip