Based on goals, clean sheets and form of the last 10 matches
Probabilities calculated by bivariate Poisson model (last 10 matches)
Panama | Croatia
Stats based on 3 match(es) for Panama, 4 match(es) for Croatia
Our algorithm gives Croatia as the dominant scenario with 48.12% probability. Detail: Panama win 26.71%, draw 25.17%, Croatia win 48.12%. Confidence index: 3.7/10.
Our model identifies a value bet on 2 Extérieur (odds 2.20), with an edge of +2.67% — the difference between our calculated probability and the bookmaker's implied probability.
Over 2.5 probability: 37.7% / Under 2.5: 62.3%. Expected xG: Panama 0.89, Croatia 1.31.
BTTS Yes: 41.4%. Recent form: Panama LLL, Croatia LWWL.
The confidence index (out of 10) measures the quality of cross-referenced statistical signals — Dixon-Coles, ELO and Poisson. A score ≥ 7 indicates strong concordant signals. This match scores 3.7/10.
Statistical data for informational purposes only — no result guaranteed. 18+ · Responsible gambling.
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