Compared Statistics
Based on goals, clean sheets and form of the last 10 matches
Algorithmic Probabilities
Special Markets
Exact Scores — Top 6
Probabilities calculated by bivariate Poisson model (last 10 matches)
Expected Goals (average xG)
Nottingham Forest FC | Leeds United FC
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Nottingham Forest FC vs Leeds United FC?
Our algorithm gives Nottingham Forest FC as the dominant scenario with 52.74% probability. Detail: Nottingham Forest FC win 52.74%, draw 21.43%, Leeds United FC win 25.83%. Confidence index: 3.8/10.
What is the best bet on Nottingham Forest FC vs Leeds United FC?
Our model identifies a value bet on 1 Domicile (odds 2.25), with an edge of +8.3% — the difference between our calculated probability and the bookmaker's implied probability.
Will there be more than 2.5 goals in this match?
Over 2.5 probability: 52.2% / Under 2.5: 47.8%. Expected xG: Nottingham Forest FC 1.68, Leeds United FC 1.08.
Will both teams score?
BTTS Yes: 52.5%. Recent form: Nottingham Forest FC , Leeds United FC .
How to interpret the confidence index?
The confidence index (out of 10) measures the quality of cross-referenced statistical signals — Dixon-Coles, ELO and Poisson. A score ≥ 7 indicates strong concordant signals. This match scores 3.8/10.
Statistical data for informational purposes only — no result guaranteed. 18+ · Responsible gambling.
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