Newcastle United FC
Newcastle United FC
En direct 0 - 0
VS
Premier League Betclic
Liverpool FC
Liverpool FC

Compared Statistics

Newcastle United FC
Liverpool FC

Based on goals, clean sheets and form of the last 10 matches

Algorithmic Probabilities

1 — Home
41.58% Odds 3.26 +10.91%
N — Draw
21.36% Odds 3.83 -4.75%
2 — Away
37.05% Odds 2.07 -11.26%

Recent Form

Newcastle United FC
L D W W D
2.4 goals/match
17% clean sheet
2.7 Momentum
Liverpool FC
L L W L W
1.6 goals/match
39% clean sheet
1.8 Momentum

Special Markets

⚽ Number of goals — Over / Under 2.5
📈
Over 2.5
59%
📉
Under 2.5
41%
🎯 Both teams to score — BTTS
✅
BTTS Oui
60%
❌
BTTS Non
40%
🛡 Double Chance — Bet on 2 outcomes
1X
62.9%
Newcastle United FC ou Nul
X2
58.4%
Nul ou Liverpool FC
Recommended
12
78.6%
Newcastle United FC ou Liverpool FC

Exact Scores — Top 6

⭐ Top pick
1-1
9.6%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
8.7%
0-1
8.2%
1-2
8.1%
2-2
6.4%

Probabilities calculated by bivariate Poisson model (last 10 matches)

Tendances par mi-temps

Newcastle United FC
1ère MT 1.7 buts
2ème MT 0.8 buts
📉 Forte en 1ère MT
Liverpool FC
1ère MT 0.5 buts
2ème MT 1.1 buts
📈 Forte en 2ème MT

Expected Goals (average xG)

1.58
1.48

Newcastle United FC  |  Liverpool FC

1695
ELO Newcastle United FC
Liverpool FC ELO favourite
1890
ELO Liverpool FC

Stats based on 10 match(es) for Newcastle United FC, 10 match(es) for Liverpool FC

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Newcastle United FC vs Liverpool FC?

Our algorithm gives Newcastle United FC as the dominant scenario with 41.58% probability. Detail: Newcastle United FC win 41.58%, draw 21.36%, Liverpool FC win 37.05%. Confidence index: 3.4/10.

What is the best bet on Newcastle United FC vs Liverpool FC?

Our model identifies a value bet on 1 Domicile (odds 3.26), with an edge of +10.91% — the difference between our calculated probability and the bookmaker's implied probability.

Will there be more than 2.5 goals in this match?

Over 2.5 probability: 59% / Under 2.5: 41%. Expected xG: Newcastle United FC 1.58, Liverpool FC 1.48.

Will both teams score?

BTTS Yes: 60%. Recent form: Newcastle United FC LDWWD, Liverpool FC LLWLW.

How to interpret the confidence index?

The confidence index (out of 10) measures the quality of cross-referenced statistical signals — Dixon-Coles, ELO and Poisson. A score ≥ 7 indicates strong concordant signals. This match scores 3.4/10.

Statistical data for informational purposes only — no result guaranteed. 18+ · Responsible gambling.

AI Confidence Index
3.4 /10
Weak signal
Payout simulator
Which outcome do you want to bet on?
The % = our model estimate based on both teams' stats.
€
AI advised stake
—
I stake 20 €
If Win Newcastle United FC — you get back (stake + winnings)
— Net gain
if won
— You lose
if missed

⚠️ Indicative simulation only — no result guaranteed. Please gamble responsibly.

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