Based on goals, clean sheets and form of the last 10 matches
Probabilities calculated by bivariate Poisson model (last 10 matches)
New Zealand | Egypt
Stats based on 3 match(es) for New Zealand, 5 match(es) for Egypt
Our algorithm gives Egypt as the dominant scenario with 64.83% probability. Detail: New Zealand win 18.85%, draw 16.32%, Egypt win 64.83%. Confidence index: 5.0/10.
Our model identifies a value bet on 2 Extérieur (odds 1.64), with an edge of +3.85% — the difference between our calculated probability and the bookmaker's implied probability.
Over 2.5 probability: 72.1% / Under 2.5: 27.9%. Expected xG: New Zealand 1.26, Egypt 2.48.
BTTS Yes: 64.8%. Recent form: New Zealand LLD, Egypt LDDWD.
The confidence index (out of 10) measures the quality of cross-referenced statistical signals — Dixon-Coles, ELO and Poisson. A score ≥ 7 indicates strong concordant signals. This match scores 5.0/10.
Statistical data for informational purposes only — no result guaranteed. 18+ · Responsible gambling.
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