Based on goals, clean sheets and form of the last 10 matches
Probabilities calculated by bivariate Poisson model (last 10 matches)
New Zealand | Belgium
Stats based on 3 match(es) for New Zealand, 6 match(es) for Belgium
Our algorithm gives Belgium as the dominant scenario with 79.09% probability. Detail: New Zealand win 9.9%, draw 11.01%, Belgium win 79.09%. Confidence index: 6.9/10.
Our model identifies a value bet on 2 Extérieur (odds 1.34), with an edge of +4.46% — the difference between our calculated probability and the bookmaker's implied probability.
Over 2.5 probability: 82.1% / Under 2.5: 17.9%. Expected xG: New Zealand 1.15, Belgium 3.31.
BTTS Yes: 65.3%. Recent form: New Zealand LLD, Belgium LWDWD.
The confidence index (out of 10) measures the quality of cross-referenced statistical signals — Dixon-Coles, ELO and Poisson. A score ≥ 7 indicates strong concordant signals. This match scores 6.9/10.
Statistical data for informational purposes only — no result guaranteed. 18+ · Responsible gambling.
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