Netherlands
Netherlands
En direct 0 - 0
2-2
Finished
Coupe du Monde Betclic
Japan
Japan

Compared Statistics

Netherlands
Japan

Based on goals, clean sheets and form of the last 10 matches

Algorithmic Probabilities

1 — Home
40.98% Odds 2.59 ✗ Missed
N — Draw
20.19% Odds 5.25 +1.14%
2 — Away
38.83% Odds 2.73 +2.2%

Recent Form

Netherlands
D W W D
2.6 goals/match
0% clean sheet
6.4 Momentum
-5% Fatigue
Japan
L D W D
1.9 goals/match
23% clean sheet
2.7 Momentum

Special Markets

⚽ Number of goals — Over / Under 2.5
📈
Over 2.5
✓ Correct
67%
📉
Under 2.5
33%
🎯 Both teams to score — BTTS
✅
BTTS Oui
✓ Correct
66.4%
❌
BTTS Non
33.6%
🛡 Double Chance — Bet on 2 outcomes
1X
61.2%
Netherlands ou Nul
X2
59%
Nul ou Japan
✗ Missed
12
79.8%
Netherlands ou Japan

Exact Scores — Top 6

✗ Missed
1-1
8.3%
2-1
8.3%
1-2
8%
✓ Correct
2-2
7%
1-0
6.7%
0-1
6.5%

Probabilities calculated by bivariate Poisson model (last 10 matches)

Tendances par mi-temps

Netherlands
1ère MT 0.9 buts
2ème MT 1.7 buts
📈 Forte en 2ème MT
Japan
1ère MT 0.8 buts
2ème MT 1.2 buts
📈 Forte en 2ème MT

Expected Goals (average xG)

1.75
1.70

Netherlands  |  Japan

1920
ELO Netherlands
Netherlands ELO favourite
1810
ELO Japan

Stats based on 4 match(es) for Netherlands, 4 match(es) for Japan

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Netherlands vs Japan?

Our algorithm gives Netherlands as the dominant scenario with 40.98% probability. Detail: Netherlands win 40.98%, draw 20.19%, Japan win 38.83%. Confidence index: 1.5/10.

What is the best bet on Netherlands vs Japan?

Our model identifies a value bet on 1 Domicile (odds 2.59), with an edge of +2.37% — the difference between our calculated probability and the bookmaker's implied probability.

Will there be more than 2.5 goals in this match?

Over 2.5 probability: 67% / Under 2.5: 33%. Expected xG: Netherlands 1.75, Japan 1.70.

Will both teams score?

BTTS Yes: 66.4%. Recent form: Netherlands DWWD, Japan LDWD.

How to interpret the confidence index?

The confidence index (out of 10) measures the quality of cross-referenced statistical signals — Dixon-Coles, ELO and Poisson. A score ≥ 7 indicates strong concordant signals. This match scores 1.5/10.

Statistical data for informational purposes only — no result guaranteed. 18+ · Responsible gambling.

AI Confidence Index
1.5 /10
Weak signal
Payout simulator
Which outcome do you want to bet on?
The % = our model estimate based on both teams' stats.
I stake 20 €
If Win Netherlands — you get back (stake + winnings)
— Net gain
if won
— You lose
if missed

⚠️ Indicative simulation only — no result guaranteed. Please gamble responsibly.

Where to bet — Comparison

Betclic
Link not configured 1 Domicile
2.59
Winamax
Link not configured 1 Domicile
2.59
PMU
Link not configured 1 Domicile
2.59

18+ · Gambling involves risks · Gamble responsibly

Community Tips

See all → →

No tips yet. Be the first! — + Post a tip

Alertes value bets