Compared Statistics
Based on goals, clean sheets and form of the last 10 matches
Algorithmic Probabilities
Recent Form
Mirassol FC
Grêmio FBPA
Special Markets
Exact Scores — Top 6
Probabilities calculated by bivariate Poisson model (last 10 matches)
Tendances par mi-temps
Expected Goals (average xG)
Mirassol FC | Grêmio FBPA
Stats based on 10 match(es) for Mirassol FC, 10 match(es) for Grêmio FBPA
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Mirassol FC vs Grêmio FBPA?
Our algorithm gives Mirassol FC as the dominant scenario with 44.87% probability. Detail: Mirassol FC win 44.87%, draw 29.15%, Grêmio FBPA win 25.99%. Confidence index: 1.2/10.
What is the best bet on Mirassol FC vs Grêmio FBPA?
Our model identifies a value bet on 2 Extérieur (odds 4.01), with an edge of +1.05% — the difference between our calculated probability and the bookmaker's implied probability.
Will there be more than 2.5 goals in this match?
Over 2.5 probability: 26.8% / Under 2.5: 73.2%. Expected xG: Mirassol FC 1.07, Grêmio FBPA 0.72.
Will both teams score?
BTTS Yes: 32.3%. Recent form: Mirassol FC LWLDW, Grêmio FBPA LWDLD.
How to interpret the confidence index?
The confidence index (out of 10) measures the quality of cross-referenced statistical signals — Dixon-Coles, ELO and Poisson. A score ≥ 7 indicates strong concordant signals. This match scores 1.2/10.
Statistical data for informational purposes only — no result guaranteed. 18+ · Responsible gambling.
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