Compared Statistics
Based on goals, clean sheets and form of the last 10 matches
Algorithmic Probabilities
Recent Form
Mexico
South Africa
Special Markets
Exact Scores — Top 6
Probabilities calculated by bivariate Poisson model (last 10 matches)
Tendances par mi-temps
Expected Goals (average xG)
Mexico | South Africa
Stats based on 5 match(es) for Mexico, 4 match(es) for South Africa
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Mexico vs South Africa?
Our algorithm gives Mexico as the dominant scenario with 56.7% probability. Detail: Mexico win 56.7%, draw 24.3%, South Africa win 19%. Confidence index: 3.8/10.
What is the best bet on Mexico vs South Africa?
Our model identifies a value bet on 1 Domicile (odds 1.87), with an edge of +3.22% — the difference between our calculated probability and the bookmaker's implied probability.
Will there be more than 2.5 goals in this match?
Over 2.5 probability: 35.1% / Under 2.5: 64.9%. Expected xG: Mexico 1.43, South Africa 0.67.
Will both teams score?
BTTS Yes: 35.9%. Recent form: Mexico LWWWW, South Africa LWDL.
How to interpret the confidence index?
The confidence index (out of 10) measures the quality of cross-referenced statistical signals — Dixon-Coles, ELO and Poisson. A score ≥ 7 indicates strong concordant signals. This match scores 3.8/10.
Statistical data for informational purposes only — no result guaranteed. 18+ · Responsible gambling.
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