Manchester City FC
Manchester City FC
En direct 0 - 0
VS
Premier League Betclic
AFC Bournemouth
AFC Bournemouth

Compared Statistics

Manchester City FC
AFC Bournemouth

Based on goals, clean sheets and form of the last 10 matches

Algorithmic Probabilities

1 — Home
57.95% Odds 1.45 -11.02%
N — Draw
20.25% Odds 5.01 +0.29%
2 — Away
21.8% Odds 5.88 +4.79%

Recent Form

Manchester City FC
L L W L W
1.2 goals/match
21% clean sheet
1.8 Momentum
AFC Bournemouth
1.2 goals/match
25% clean sheet
5.0 Momentum

Special Markets

⚽ Number of goals — Over / Under 2.5
📈
Over 2.5
53.6%
📉
Under 2.5
46.4%
🎯 Both teams to score — BTTS
✅
BTTS Oui
51.7%
❌
BTTS Non
48.3%
🛡 Double Chance — Bet on 2 outcomes
1X
78.2%
Manchester City FC ou Nul
X2
42.1%
Nul ou AFC Bournemouth
Recommended
12
79.8%
Manchester City FC ou AFC Bournemouth

Exact Scores — Top 6

⭐ Top pick
1-0
12.1%
2-0
9.9%
2-1
9.9%
1-1
9.5%
0-1
7.3%
3-0
6%

Probabilities calculated by bivariate Poisson model (last 10 matches)

Tendances par mi-temps

Manchester City FC
1ère MT 0.9 buts
2ème MT 0.3 buts
📉 Forte en 1ère MT

Expected Goals (average xG)

1.82
1.00

Manchester City FC  |  AFC Bournemouth

1940
ELO Manchester City FC
Manchester City FC ELO favourite
1740
ELO AFC Bournemouth

Stats based on 10 match(es) for Manchester City FC, 0 match(es) for AFC Bournemouth

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Manchester City FC vs AFC Bournemouth?

Our algorithm gives Manchester City FC as the dominant scenario with 57.95% probability. Detail: Manchester City FC win 57.95%, draw 20.25%, AFC Bournemouth win 21.8%. Confidence index: 4.3/10.

What is the best bet on Manchester City FC vs AFC Bournemouth?

Our model identifies a value bet on 2 Extérieur (odds 5.88), with an edge of +4.79% — the difference between our calculated probability and the bookmaker's implied probability.

Will there be more than 2.5 goals in this match?

Over 2.5 probability: 53.6% / Under 2.5: 46.4%. Expected xG: Manchester City FC 1.82, AFC Bournemouth 1.00.

Will both teams score?

BTTS Yes: 51.7%. Recent form: Manchester City FC LLWLW, AFC Bournemouth .

How to interpret the confidence index?

The confidence index (out of 10) measures the quality of cross-referenced statistical signals — Dixon-Coles, ELO and Poisson. A score ≥ 7 indicates strong concordant signals. This match scores 4.3/10.

Statistical data for informational purposes only — no result guaranteed. 18+ · Responsible gambling.

AI Confidence Index
4.3 /10
Moderate signal
Payout simulator
Which outcome do you want to bet on?
The % = our model estimate based on both teams' stats.
€
AI advised stake
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I stake 20 €
If Win AFC Bournemouth — you get back (stake + winnings)
— Net gain
if won
— You lose
if missed

⚠️ Indicative simulation only — no result guaranteed. Please gamble responsibly.

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