Based on goals, clean sheets and form of the last 10 matches
Probabilities calculated by bivariate Poisson model (last 10 matches)
Ivory Coast | Ecuador
Stats based on 4 match(es) for Ivory Coast, 4 match(es) for Ecuador
Our algorithm gives Ivory Coast as the dominant scenario with 48.11% probability. Detail: Ivory Coast win 48.11%, draw 29.88%, Ecuador win 22.01%. Confidence index: 2.3/10.
Our model identifies a value bet on 1 Domicile (odds 2.20), with an edge of +2.66% — the difference between our calculated probability and the bookmaker's implied probability.
Over 2.5 probability: 23.9% / Under 2.5: 76.1%. Expected xG: Ivory Coast 1.08, Ecuador 0.61.
BTTS Yes: 28.6%. Recent form: Ivory Coast LWLW, Ecuador LWDL.
The confidence index (out of 10) measures the quality of cross-referenced statistical signals — Dixon-Coles, ELO and Poisson. A score ≥ 7 indicates strong concordant signals. This match scores 2.3/10.
Statistical data for informational purposes only — no result guaranteed. 18+ · Responsible gambling.
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