Based on goals, clean sheets and form of the last 10 matches
Probabilities calculated by bivariate Poisson model (last 10 matches)
Ipswich Town FC | Sunderland AFC
Our algorithm gives Sunderland AFC as the dominant scenario with 55.35% probability. Detail: Ipswich Town FC win 23.77%, draw 20.87%, Sunderland AFC win 55.35%. Confidence index: 6.6/10.
Our model identifies a value bet on 2 Extérieur (odds 2.62), with an edge of +17.18% — the difference between our calculated probability and the bookmaker's implied probability.
Over 2.5 probability: 52.9% / Under 2.5: 47.1%. Expected xG: Ipswich Town FC 1.04, Sunderland AFC 1.75.
BTTS Yes: 52.1%. Recent form: Ipswich Town FC , Sunderland AFC .
The confidence index (out of 10) measures the quality of cross-referenced statistical signals — Dixon-Coles, ELO and Poisson. A score ≥ 7 indicates strong concordant signals. This match scores 6.6/10.
Statistical data for informational purposes only — no result guaranteed. 18+ · Responsible gambling.
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