Based on goals, clean sheets and form of the last 10 matches
Probabilities calculated by bivariate Poisson model (last 10 matches)
Hull City AFC | Manchester United FC
Our algorithm gives Manchester United FC as the dominant scenario with 66.18% probability. Detail: Hull City AFC win 16.06%, draw 17.76%, Manchester United FC win 66.18%. Confidence index: 5.5/10.
Our model identifies a value bet on 1 Domicile (odds 7.05), with an edge of +1.88% — the difference between our calculated probability and the bookmaker's implied probability.
Over 2.5 probability: 56.6% / Under 2.5: 43.4%. Expected xG: Hull City AFC 0.88, Manchester United FC 2.08.
BTTS Yes: 50%. Recent form: Hull City AFC , Manchester United FC .
The confidence index (out of 10) measures the quality of cross-referenced statistical signals — Dixon-Coles, ELO and Poisson. A score ≥ 7 indicates strong concordant signals. This match scores 5.5/10.
Statistical data for informational purposes only — no result guaranteed. 18+ · Responsible gambling.
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