Based on goals, clean sheets and form of the last 10 matches
Probabilities calculated by bivariate Poisson model (last 10 matches)
Haiti | Scotland
Stats based on 3 match(es) for Haiti, 3 match(es) for Scotland
Our algorithm gives Scotland as the dominant scenario with 59.25% probability. Detail: Haiti win 19.16%, draw 21.6%, Scotland win 59.25%. Confidence index: 2.9/10.
Our model identifies a value bet on 2 Extérieur (odds 1.79), with an edge of +3.38% — the difference between our calculated probability and the bookmaker's implied probability.
Over 2.5 probability: 44.2% / Under 2.5: 55.8%. Expected xG: Haiti 0.79, Scotland 1.65.
BTTS Yes: 42.9%. Recent form: Haiti LLL, Scotland LLW.
The confidence index (out of 10) measures the quality of cross-referenced statistical signals — Dixon-Coles, ELO and Poisson. A score ≥ 7 indicates strong concordant signals. This match scores 2.9/10.
Statistical data for informational purposes only — no result guaranteed. 18+ · Responsible gambling.
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