Based on goals, clean sheets and form of the last 10 matches
Probabilities calculated by bivariate Poisson model (last 10 matches)
Germany | Curaçao
Stats based on 4 match(es) for Germany, 3 match(es) for Curaçao
Our algorithm gives Germany as the dominant scenario with 81.43% probability. Detail: Germany win 81.43%, draw 10.25%, Curaçao win 8.32%. Confidence index: 7.0/10.
Our model identifies a value bet on 1 Domicile (odds 1.30), with an edge of +4.51% — the difference between our calculated probability and the bookmaker's implied probability.
Over 2.5 probability: 80.1% / Under 2.5: 19.9%. Expected xG: Germany 3.30, Curaçao 1.00.
BTTS Yes: 60.5%. Recent form: Germany DLWW, Curaçao LDL.
The confidence index (out of 10) measures the quality of cross-referenced statistical signals — Dixon-Coles, ELO and Poisson. A score ≥ 7 indicates strong concordant signals. This match scores 7.0/10.
Statistical data for informational purposes only — no result guaranteed. 18+ · Responsible gambling.
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