Germany
Germany
En direct 0 - 0
7-1
Finished
Coupe du Monde Betclic
Curaçao
Curaçao

Compared Statistics

Germany
Curaçao

Based on goals, clean sheets and form of the last 10 matches

Algorithmic Probabilities

1 — Home
81.43% Odds 1.30 ✓ Correct
N — Draw
10.25% Odds 10.34 +0.58%
2 — Away
8.32% Odds 12.74 +0.47%

Recent Form

Germany
D L W W
2.5 goals/match
0% clean sheet
3.6 Momentum
-5% Fatigue
Curaçao
L D L
0.3 goals/match
33% clean sheet
0.9 Momentum

Special Markets

⚽ Number of goals — Over / Under 2.5
📈
Over 2.5
✓ Correct
80.1%
📉
Under 2.5
19.9%
🎯 Both teams to score — BTTS
BTTS Oui
✓ Correct
60.5%
BTTS Non
39.5%
🛡 Double Chance — Bet on 2 outcomes
✓ Correct
1X
91.7%
Germany ou Nul
X2
18.6%
Nul ou Curaçao
12
89.8%
Germany ou Curaçao

Exact Scores — Top 6

✗ Missed
3-1
8.2%
3-0
8.2%
2-1
7.5%
2-0
7.4%
4-1
6.7%
4-0
6.7%

Probabilities calculated by bivariate Poisson model (last 10 matches)

Tendances par mi-temps

Germany
1ère MT 0.9 buts
2ème MT 1.6 buts
📈 Forte en 2ème MT
Curaçao
1ère MT 0.3 buts
2ème MT 0.0 buts

Expected Goals (average xG)

3.30
1.00

Germany  |  Curaçao

1915
ELO Germany
Germany ELO favourite
1500
ELO Curaçao

Stats based on 4 match(es) for Germany, 3 match(es) for Curaçao

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Germany vs Curaçao?

Our algorithm gives Germany as the dominant scenario with 81.43% probability. Detail: Germany win 81.43%, draw 10.25%, Curaçao win 8.32%. Confidence index: 7.0/10.

What is the best bet on Germany vs Curaçao?

Our model identifies a value bet on 1 Domicile (odds 1.30), with an edge of +4.51% — the difference between our calculated probability and the bookmaker's implied probability.

Will there be more than 2.5 goals in this match?

Over 2.5 probability: 80.1% / Under 2.5: 19.9%. Expected xG: Germany 3.30, Curaçao 1.00.

Will both teams score?

BTTS Yes: 60.5%. Recent form: Germany DLWW, Curaçao LDL.

How to interpret the confidence index?

The confidence index (out of 10) measures the quality of cross-referenced statistical signals — Dixon-Coles, ELO and Poisson. A score ≥ 7 indicates strong concordant signals. This match scores 7.0/10.

Statistical data for informational purposes only — no result guaranteed. 18+ · Responsible gambling.

AI Confidence Index
7.0 /10
Strong signal
Payout simulator
Which outcome do you want to bet on?
The % = our model estimate based on both teams' stats.
I stake 20 €
If Win Germany you get back (stake + winnings)
Net gain
if won
You lose
if missed

⚠️ Indicative simulation only — no result guaranteed. Please gamble responsibly.

Where to bet — Comparison

Betclic
Link not configured 1 Domicile
1.30
Winamax
Link not configured 1 Domicile
1.30
PMU
Link not configured 1 Domicile
1.30

18+ · Gambling involves risks · Gamble responsibly

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