Compared Statistics
Based on goals, clean sheets and form of the last 10 matches
Algorithmic Probabilities
Recent Form
France
Sweden
Special Markets
Exact Scores — Top 6
Probabilities calculated by bivariate Poisson model (last 10 matches)
Tendances par mi-temps
Expected Goals (average xG)
France | Sweden
Stats based on 6 match(es) for France, 4 match(es) for Sweden
Frequently asked questions
Who will win France vs Sweden?
Our algorithm gives France as the dominant scenario with 83.84% probability. Detail: France win 83.84%, draw 10.49%, Sweden win 5.67%. Confidence index: 7.1/10.
What is the best bet on France vs Sweden?
Our model identifies a value bet on 1 Domicile (odds 1.26), with an edge of +4.47% — the difference between our calculated probability and the bookmaker's implied probability.
Will there be more than 2.5 goals in this match?
Over 2.5 probability: 63.3% / Under 2.5: 36.7%. Expected xG: France 2.73, Sweden 0.54.
Will both teams score?
BTTS Yes: 38.2%. Recent form: France WWWWW, Sweden LDLW.
How to interpret the confidence index?
The confidence index (out of 10) measures the quality of cross-referenced statistical signals — Dixon-Coles, ELO and Poisson. A score ≥ 7 indicates strong concordant signals. This match scores 7.1/10.
Statistical data for informational purposes only — no result guaranteed. 18+ · Responsible gambling.
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