France
France
En direct 0 - 0
VS
Coupe du Monde Betclic
Spain
Spain

Compared Statistics

France
Spain

Based on goals, clean sheets and form of the last 10 matches

Algorithmic Probabilities

1 — Home
47.3% Odds 2.24 +2.66%
N — Draw
30.68% Odds 3.46 +1.78%
2 — Away
22.02% Odds 4.81 +1.23%

Recent Form

France
W W W W W
2.6 goals/match
69% clean sheet
10.0 Momentum
-7% Fatigue
Spain
W W W W W
1.9 goals/match
79% clean sheet
10.0 Momentum
-12% Fatigue

Special Markets

⚽ Number of goals — Over / Under 2.5
📈
Over 2.5
22.5%
📉
Under 2.5
77.5%
🎯 Both teams to score — BTTS
✅
BTTS Oui
27.4%
❌
BTTS Non
72.6%
🛡 Double Chance — Bet on 2 outcomes
Recommended
1X
78%
France ou Nul
X2
52.7%
Nul ou Spain
12
69.3%
France ou Spain

Exact Scores — Top 6

⭐ Top pick
1-0
21.8%
0-0
18.1%
0-1
13%
2-0
10.6%
1-1
10.6%
2-1
6.3%

Probabilities calculated by bivariate Poisson model (last 10 matches)

Tendances par mi-temps

France
1ère MT 0.7 buts
2ème MT 1.8 buts
📈 Forte en 2ème MT
Spain
1ère MT 1.0 buts
2ème MT 0.9 buts
〰️ Régulière

Expected Goals (average xG)

1.04
0.59

France  |  Spain

2005
ELO France
ELO balance
1990
ELO Spain

Stats based on 6 match(es) for France, 6 match(es) for Spain

Frequently asked questions

Who will win France vs Spain?

Our algorithm gives France as the dominant scenario with 47.3% probability. Detail: France win 47.3%, draw 30.68%, Spain win 22.02%. Confidence index: 1.8/10.

What is the best bet on France vs Spain?

Our model identifies a value bet on 1 Domicile (odds 2.24), with an edge of +2.66% — the difference between our calculated probability and the bookmaker's implied probability.

Will there be more than 2.5 goals in this match?

Over 2.5 probability: 22.5% / Under 2.5: 77.5%. Expected xG: France 1.04, Spain 0.59.

Will both teams score?

BTTS Yes: 27.4%. Recent form: France WWWWW, Spain WWWWW.

How to interpret the confidence index?

The confidence index (out of 10) measures the quality of cross-referenced statistical signals — Dixon-Coles, ELO and Poisson. A score ≥ 7 indicates strong concordant signals. This match scores 1.8/10.

Statistical data for informational purposes only — no result guaranteed. 18+ · Responsible gambling.

AI Confidence Index
1.8 /10
Weak signal
Payout simulator
Which outcome do you want to bet on?
The % = our model estimate based on both teams' stats.
I stake 20 €
If Win France — you get back (stake + winnings)
— Net gain
if won
— You lose
if missed

⚠️ Indicative simulation only — no result guaranteed. Please gamble responsibly.

Where to bet — Comparison

Betclic
Link not configured 1 Domicile
2.24
Winamax
Link not configured 1 Domicile
2.24
PMU
Link not configured 1 Domicile
2.24

18+ · Gambling involves risks · Gamble responsibly

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