France
France
En direct 0 - 0
3-0
Finished
Coupe du Monde Betclic
Iraq
Iraq

Compared Statistics

France
Iraq

Based on goals, clean sheets and form of the last 10 matches

Algorithmic Probabilities

1 — Home
90.53% Odds 1.17 ✓ Correct
N — Draw
6.58% Odds 16.11 +0.37%
2 — Away
2.89% Odds 36.68 +0.16%

Recent Form

France
W W W W W
2.6 goals/match
69% clean sheet
10.0 Momentum
-7% Fatigue
Iraq
L L L
0.3 goals/match
0% clean sheet
0.0 Momentum

Special Markets

⚽ Number of goals — Over / Under 2.5
📈
Over 2.5
✓ Correct
71.7%
📉
Under 2.5
28.3%
🎯 Both teams to score — BTTS
✅
BTTS Oui
33.8%
❌
BTTS Non
✓ Correct
66.2%
🛡 Double Chance — Bet on 2 outcomes
✓ Correct
1X
97.1%
France ou Nul
X2
9.5%
Nul ou Iraq
12
93.4%
France ou Iraq

Exact Scores — Top 6

✓ Correct
3-0
14.3%
2-0
13.1%
4-0
11.8%
1-0
8.4%
5-0
7.7%
3-1
6.3%

Probabilities calculated by bivariate Poisson model (last 10 matches)

Tendances par mi-temps

France
1ère MT 0.7 buts
2ème MT 1.8 buts
📈 Forte en 2ème MT
Iraq
1ère MT 0.3 buts
2ème MT 0.0 buts

Expected Goals (average xG)

3.29
0.44

France  |  Iraq

2005
ELO France
France ELO favourite
1500
ELO Iraq

Stats based on 6 match(es) for France, 3 match(es) for Iraq

Frequently asked questions

Who will win France vs Iraq?

Our algorithm gives France as the dominant scenario with 90.53% probability. Detail: France win 90.53%, draw 6.58%, Iraq win 2.89%. Confidence index: 7.4/10.

What is the best bet on France vs Iraq?

Our model identifies a value bet on 1 Domicile (odds 1.17), with an edge of +5.06% — the difference between our calculated probability and the bookmaker's implied probability.

Will there be more than 2.5 goals in this match?

Over 2.5 probability: 71.7% / Under 2.5: 28.3%. Expected xG: France 3.29, Iraq 0.44.

Will both teams score?

BTTS Yes: 33.8%. Recent form: France WWWWW, Iraq LLL.

How to interpret the confidence index?

The confidence index (out of 10) measures the quality of cross-referenced statistical signals — Dixon-Coles, ELO and Poisson. A score ≥ 7 indicates strong concordant signals. This match scores 7.4/10.

Statistical data for informational purposes only — no result guaranteed. 18+ · Responsible gambling.

AI Confidence Index
7.4 /10
Strong signal
Payout simulator
Which outcome do you want to bet on?
The % = our model estimate based on both teams' stats.
I stake 20 €
If Win France — you get back (stake + winnings)
— Net gain
if won
— You lose
if missed

⚠️ Indicative simulation only — no result guaranteed. Please gamble responsibly.

Where to bet — Comparison

Betclic
Link not configured 1 Domicile
1.17
Winamax
Link not configured 1 Domicile
1.17
PMU
Link not configured 1 Domicile
1.17

18+ · Gambling involves risks · Gamble responsibly

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