Based on goals, clean sheets and form of the last 10 matches
Probabilities calculated by bivariate Poisson model (last 10 matches)
France | England
Stats based on 7 match(es) for France, 7 match(es) for England
Our algorithm gives France as the dominant scenario with 50.18% probability. Detail: France win 50.18%, draw 23.18%, England win 26.64%. Confidence index: 2.2/10.
Our model identifies a value bet on 1 Domicile (odds 2.11), with an edge of +2.79% — the difference between our calculated probability and the bookmaker's implied probability.
Over 2.5 probability: 45% / Under 2.5: 55%. Expected xG: France 1.49, England 0.99.
BTTS Yes: 47.1%. Recent form: France LWWWW, England LDWWW.
The confidence index (out of 10) measures the quality of cross-referenced statistical signals — Dixon-Coles, ELO and Poisson. A score ≥ 7 indicates strong concordant signals. This match scores 2.2/10.
Statistical data for informational purposes only — no result guaranteed. 18+ · Responsible gambling.
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