Compared Statistics
Based on goals, clean sheets and form of the last 10 matches
Algorithmic Probabilities
Recent Form
Fluminense FC
EC Bahia
Special Markets
Exact Scores — Top 6
Probabilities calculated by bivariate Poisson model (last 10 matches)
Tendances par mi-temps
Expected Goals (average xG)
Fluminense FC | EC Bahia
Stats based on 10 match(es) for Fluminense FC, 10 match(es) for EC Bahia
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Fluminense FC vs EC Bahia?
Our algorithm gives Fluminense FC as the dominant scenario with 41.02% probability. Detail: Fluminense FC win 41.02%, draw 24.88%, EC Bahia win 34.1%. Confidence index: 1.0/10.
What is the best bet on Fluminense FC vs EC Bahia?
Our model identifies a value bet on 1 Domicile (odds 2.58), with an edge of +2.26% — the difference between our calculated probability and the bookmaker's implied probability.
Will there be more than 2.5 goals in this match?
Over 2.5 probability: 41.3% / Under 2.5: 58.7%. Expected xG: Fluminense FC 1.24, EC Bahia 1.10.
Will both teams score?
BTTS Yes: 45.7%. Recent form: Fluminense FC DDDLW, EC Bahia DDWWL.
How to interpret the confidence index?
The confidence index (out of 10) measures the quality of cross-referenced statistical signals — Dixon-Coles, ELO and Poisson. A score ≥ 7 indicates strong concordant signals. This match scores 1.0/10.
Statistical data for informational purposes only — no result guaranteed. 18+ · Responsible gambling.
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