Based on goals, clean sheets and form of the last 10 matches
Probabilities calculated by bivariate Poisson model (last 10 matches)
Everton FC | Crystal Palace FC
Our algorithm gives Everton FC as the dominant scenario with 45.23% probability. Detail: Everton FC win 45.23%, draw 22.55%, Crystal Palace FC win 32.22%. Confidence index: 1.4/10.
Our model identifies a value bet on 2 Extérieur (odds 3.42), with an edge of +2.98% — the difference between our calculated probability and the bookmaker's implied probability.
Over 2.5 probability: 51% / Under 2.5: 49%. Expected xG: Everton FC 1.50, Crystal Palace FC 1.22.
BTTS Yes: 53.2%. Recent form: Everton FC , Crystal Palace FC .
The confidence index (out of 10) measures the quality of cross-referenced statistical signals — Dixon-Coles, ELO and Poisson. A score ≥ 7 indicates strong concordant signals. This match scores 1.4/10.
Statistical data for informational purposes only — no result guaranteed. 18+ · Responsible gambling.
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