Compared Statistics
Based on goals, clean sheets and form of the last 10 matches
Algorithmic Probabilities
Recent Form
Egypt
Iran
Special Markets
Exact Scores — Top 6
Probabilities calculated by bivariate Poisson model (last 10 matches)
Tendances par mi-temps
Expected Goals (average xG)
Egypt | Iran
Stats based on 5 match(es) for Egypt, 3 match(es) for Iran
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Egypt vs Iran?
Our algorithm gives Iran as the dominant scenario with 37.96% probability. Detail: Egypt win 35.34%, draw 26.7%, Iran win 37.96%. Confidence index: 1.0/10.
What is the best bet on Egypt vs Iran?
Our model identifies a value bet on 2 Extérieur (odds 2.79), with an edge of +2.12% — the difference between our calculated probability and the bookmaker's implied probability.
Will there be more than 2.5 goals in this match?
Over 2.5 probability: 35.1% / Under 2.5: 64.9%. Expected xG: Egypt 1.03, Iran 1.08.
Will both teams score?
BTTS Yes: 40.6%. Recent form: Egypt LDDWD, Iran DDD.
How to interpret the confidence index?
The confidence index (out of 10) measures the quality of cross-referenced statistical signals — Dixon-Coles, ELO and Poisson. A score ≥ 7 indicates strong concordant signals. This match scores 1.0/10.
Statistical data for informational purposes only — no result guaranteed. 18+ · Responsible gambling.
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