Compared Statistics
Based on goals, clean sheets and form of the last 10 matches
Algorithmic Probabilities
Recent Form
Ecuador
Germany
Special Markets
Exact Scores — Top 6
Probabilities calculated by bivariate Poisson model (last 10 matches)
Tendances par mi-temps
Expected Goals (average xG)
Ecuador | Germany
Stats based on 4 match(es) for Ecuador, 4 match(es) for Germany
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Ecuador vs Germany?
Our algorithm gives Ecuador as the dominant scenario with 44.51% probability. Detail: Ecuador win 44.51%, draw 24.68%, Germany win 30.81%. Confidence index: 2.3/10.
What is the best bet on Ecuador vs Germany?
Our model identifies a value bet on 1 Domicile (odds 2.38), with an edge of +2.49% — the difference between our calculated probability and the bookmaker's implied probability.
Will there be more than 2.5 goals in this match?
Over 2.5 probability: 41.2% / Under 2.5: 58.8%. Expected xG: Ecuador 1.31, Germany 1.03.
Will both teams score?
BTTS Yes: 45.2%. Recent form: Ecuador LWDL, Germany DLWW.
How to interpret the confidence index?
The confidence index (out of 10) measures the quality of cross-referenced statistical signals — Dixon-Coles, ELO and Poisson. A score ≥ 7 indicates strong concordant signals. This match scores 2.3/10.
Statistical data for informational purposes only — no result guaranteed. 18+ · Responsible gambling.
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