Ecuador
Ecuador
En direct 0 - 0
0-0
Finished
Coupe du Monde Betclic
Curaçao
Curaçao

Compared Statistics

Ecuador
Curaçao

Based on goals, clean sheets and form of the last 10 matches

Algorithmic Probabilities

1 — Home
58.06% Odds 1.83 ✗ Missed
N — Draw
21.57% Odds 4.91 +1.2%
2 — Away
20.37% Odds 5.20 +1.14%

Recent Form

Ecuador
L W D L
0.6 goals/match
21% clean sheet
3.3 Momentum
Curaçao
L D L
0.3 goals/match
33% clean sheet
0.9 Momentum

Special Markets

⚽ Number of goals — Over / Under 2.5
📈
Over 2.5
45.8%
📉
Under 2.5
✓ Correct
54.2%
🎯 Both teams to score — BTTS
✅
BTTS Oui
44.9%
❌
BTTS Non
✓ Correct
55.1%
🛡 Double Chance — Bet on 2 outcomes
✓ Correct
1X
79.6%
Ecuador ou Nul
X2
41.9%
Nul ou Curaçao
12
78.4%
Ecuador ou Curaçao

Exact Scores — Top 6

✗ Missed
1-0
14.9%
2-0
11.2%
1-1
10.1%
2-1
9.5%
0-1
8.3%
✓ Correct
0-0
6.8%

Probabilities calculated by bivariate Poisson model (last 10 matches)

Tendances par mi-temps

Ecuador
1ère MT 0.3 buts
2ème MT 0.3 buts
〰️ Régulière
Curaçao
1ère MT 0.3 buts
2ème MT 0.0 buts

Expected Goals (average xG)

1.66
0.85

Ecuador  |  Curaçao

1765
ELO Ecuador
Ecuador ELO favourite
1500
ELO Curaçao

Stats based on 4 match(es) for Ecuador, 3 match(es) for Curaçao

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Ecuador vs Curaçao?

Our algorithm gives Ecuador as the dominant scenario with 58.06% probability. Detail: Ecuador win 58.06%, draw 21.57%, Curaçao win 20.37%. Confidence index: 4.6/10.

What is the best bet on Ecuador vs Curaçao?

Our model identifies a value bet on 1 Domicile (odds 1.83), with an edge of +3.42% — the difference between our calculated probability and the bookmaker's implied probability.

Will there be more than 2.5 goals in this match?

Over 2.5 probability: 45.8% / Under 2.5: 54.2%. Expected xG: Ecuador 1.66, Curaçao 0.85.

Will both teams score?

BTTS Yes: 44.9%. Recent form: Ecuador LWDL, Curaçao LDL.

How to interpret the confidence index?

The confidence index (out of 10) measures the quality of cross-referenced statistical signals — Dixon-Coles, ELO and Poisson. A score ≥ 7 indicates strong concordant signals. This match scores 4.6/10.

Statistical data for informational purposes only — no result guaranteed. 18+ · Responsible gambling.

AI Confidence Index
4.6 /10
Moderate signal
Payout simulator
Which outcome do you want to bet on?
The % = our model estimate based on both teams' stats.
I stake 20 €
If Win Ecuador — you get back (stake + winnings)
— Net gain
if won
— You lose
if missed

⚠️ Indicative simulation only — no result guaranteed. Please gamble responsibly.

Where to bet — Comparison

Betclic
Link not configured 1 Domicile
1.83
Winamax
Link not configured 1 Domicile
1.83
PMU
Link not configured 1 Domicile
1.83

18+ · Gambling involves risks · Gamble responsibly

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