Based on goals, clean sheets and form of the last 10 matches
EC Vitória
SE Palmeiras
Probabilities calculated by bivariate Poisson model (last 10 matches)
EC Vitória | SE Palmeiras
Stats based on 10 match(es) for EC Vitória, 10 match(es) for SE Palmeiras
Our algorithm gives SE Palmeiras as the dominant scenario with 48.95% probability. Detail: EC Vitória win 27.4%, draw 23.65%, SE Palmeiras win 48.95%. Confidence index: 1.8/10.
Our model identifies a value bet on 2 Extérieur (odds 2.17), with an edge of +2.87% — the difference between our calculated probability and the bookmaker's implied probability.
Over 2.5 probability: 43.5% / Under 2.5: 56.5%. Expected xG: EC Vitória 0.99, SE Palmeiras 1.44.
BTTS Yes: 46.2%. Recent form: EC Vitória LDWLW, SE Palmeiras LWWWD.
The confidence index (out of 10) measures the quality of cross-referenced statistical signals — Dixon-Coles, ELO and Poisson. A score ≥ 7 indicates strong concordant signals. This match scores 1.8/10.
Statistical data for informational purposes only — no result guaranteed. 18+ · Responsible gambling.
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