Based on goals, clean sheets and form of the last 10 matches
EC Vitória
CR Vasco da Gama
Probabilities calculated by bivariate Poisson model (last 10 matches)
EC Vitória | CR Vasco da Gama
Stats based on 10 match(es) for EC Vitória, 10 match(es) for CR Vasco da Gama
Our algorithm gives EC Vitória as the dominant scenario with 58.69% probability. Detail: EC Vitória win 58.69%, draw 18.49%, CR Vasco da Gama win 22.81%. Confidence index: 2.9/10.
Our model identifies a value bet on 1 Domicile (odds 1.81), with an edge of +3.44% — the difference between our calculated probability and the bookmaker's implied probability.
Over 2.5 probability: 65.1% / Under 2.5: 34.9%. Expected xG: EC Vitória 2.12, CR Vasco da Gama 1.24.
BTTS Yes: 61.3%. Recent form: EC Vitória LWLDW, CR Vasco da Gama LLLWD.
The confidence index (out of 10) measures the quality of cross-referenced statistical signals — Dixon-Coles, ELO and Poisson. A score ≥ 7 indicates strong concordant signals. This match scores 2.9/10.
Statistical data for informational purposes only — no result guaranteed. 18+ · Responsible gambling.
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