EC Bahia
EC Bahia
En direct 0 - 0
VS
Brasileirao Betclic
Chapecoense AF
Chapecoense AF

Compared Statistics

EC Bahia
Chapecoense AF

Based on goals, clean sheets and form of the last 10 matches

Algorithmic Probabilities

1 — Home
64.41% Odds 1.65 +3.8%
N — Draw
17.88% Odds 5.93 +1.02%
2 — Away
17.71% Odds 5.99 +1.02%

Recent Form

EC Bahia
W L D L D
1.6 goals/match
7% clean sheet
6.1 Momentum
Chapecoense AF
L L L D L
0.8 goals/match
0% clean sheet
0.0 Momentum

Special Markets

⚽ Number of goals — Over / Under 2.5
📈
Over 2.5
59.4%
📉
Under 2.5
40.6%
🎯 Both teams to score — BTTS
✅
BTTS Oui
53.6%
❌
BTTS Non
46.4%
🛡 Double Chance — Bet on 2 outcomes
Recommended
1X
82.3%
EC Bahia ou Nul
X2
35.6%
Nul ou Chapecoense AF
12
82.1%
EC Bahia ou Chapecoense AF

Exact Scores — Top 6

⭐ Top pick
1-0
10.8%
2-0
10.2%
2-1
9.9%
1-1
8.3%
3-0
7.1%
3-1
7%

Probabilities calculated by bivariate Poisson model (last 10 matches)

Tendances par mi-temps

EC Bahia
1ère MT 0.4 buts
2ème MT 1.2 buts
📈 Forte en 2ème MT
Chapecoense AF
1ère MT 0.3 buts
2ème MT 0.5 buts
📈 Forte en 2ème MT

Expected Goals (average xG)

2.10
0.98

EC Bahia  |  Chapecoense AF

1500
ELO EC Bahia
ELO balance
1500
ELO Chapecoense AF

Stats based on 10 match(es) for EC Bahia, 10 match(es) for Chapecoense AF

Frequently asked questions

Who will win EC Bahia vs Chapecoense AF?

Our algorithm gives EC Bahia as the dominant scenario with 64.41% probability. Detail: EC Bahia win 64.41%, draw 17.88%, Chapecoense AF win 17.71%. Confidence index: 3.6/10.

What is the best bet on EC Bahia vs Chapecoense AF?

Our model identifies a value bet on 1 Domicile (odds 1.65), with an edge of +3.8% — the difference between our calculated probability and the bookmaker's implied probability.

Will there be more than 2.5 goals in this match?

Over 2.5 probability: 59.4% / Under 2.5: 40.6%. Expected xG: EC Bahia 2.10, Chapecoense AF 0.98.

Will both teams score?

BTTS Yes: 53.6%. Recent form: EC Bahia WLDLD, Chapecoense AF LLLDL.

How to interpret the confidence index?

The confidence index (out of 10) measures the quality of cross-referenced statistical signals — Dixon-Coles, ELO and Poisson. A score ≥ 7 indicates strong concordant signals. This match scores 3.6/10.

Statistical data for informational purposes only — no result guaranteed. 18+ · Responsible gambling.

AI Confidence Index
3.6 /10
Weak signal
Payout simulator
Which outcome do you want to bet on?
The % = our model estimate based on both teams' stats.
I stake 20 €
If Win EC Bahia — you get back (stake + winnings)
— Net gain
if won
— You lose
if missed

⚠️ Indicative simulation only — no result guaranteed. Please gamble responsibly.

Where to bet — Comparison

Betclic
Link not configured 1 Domicile
1.65
Winamax
Link not configured 1 Domicile
1.65
PMU
Link not configured 1 Domicile
1.65

18+ · Gambling involves risks · Gamble responsibly

Community Tips

See all → →

No tips yet. Be the first! — + Post a tip

Alertes value bets