Based on goals, clean sheets and form of the last 10 matches
CR Vasco da Gama
Mirassol FC
Probabilities calculated by bivariate Poisson model (last 10 matches)
CR Vasco da Gama | Mirassol FC
Stats based on 10 match(es) for CR Vasco da Gama, 10 match(es) for Mirassol FC
Our algorithm gives Mirassol FC as the dominant scenario with 49.54% probability. Detail: CR Vasco da Gama win 26.17%, draw 24.29%, Mirassol FC win 49.54%. Confidence index: 1.8/10.
Our model identifies a value bet on 2 Extérieur (odds 2.14), with an edge of +2.81% — the difference between our calculated probability and the bookmaker's implied probability.
Over 2.5 probability: 40.4% / Under 2.5: 59.6%. Expected xG: CR Vasco da Gama 0.91, Mirassol FC 1.39.
BTTS Yes: 43.4%. Recent form: CR Vasco da Gama LLLWD, Mirassol FC LWLDW.
The confidence index (out of 10) measures the quality of cross-referenced statistical signals — Dixon-Coles, ELO and Poisson. A score ≥ 7 indicates strong concordant signals. This match scores 1.8/10.
Statistical data for informational purposes only — no result guaranteed. 18+ · Responsible gambling.
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