Based on goals, clean sheets and form of the last 10 matches
Coritiba FBC
Chapecoense AF
Probabilities calculated by bivariate Poisson model (last 10 matches)
Coritiba FBC | Chapecoense AF
Stats based on 10 match(es) for Coritiba FBC, 10 match(es) for Chapecoense AF
Our algorithm gives Coritiba FBC as the dominant scenario with 46.63% probability. Detail: Coritiba FBC win 46.63%, draw 19.66%, Chapecoense AF win 33.71%. Confidence index: 3.3/10.
Our model identifies a value bet on 2 Extérieur (odds 5.32), with an edge of +14.91% — the difference between our calculated probability and the bookmaker's implied probability.
Over 2.5 probability: 69.1% / Under 2.5: 30.9%. Expected xG: Coritiba FBC 1.94, Chapecoense AF 1.62.
BTTS Yes: 67.7%. Recent form: Coritiba FBC LDLLW, Chapecoense AF DLLLL.
The confidence index (out of 10) measures the quality of cross-referenced statistical signals — Dixon-Coles, ELO and Poisson. A score ≥ 7 indicates strong concordant signals. This match scores 3.3/10.
Statistical data for informational purposes only — no result guaranteed. 18+ · Responsible gambling.
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