Based on goals, clean sheets and form of the last 10 matches
Probabilities calculated by bivariate Poisson model (last 10 matches)
Colombia | Congo DR
Stats based on 5 match(es) for Colombia, 4 match(es) for Congo DR
Our algorithm gives Colombia as the dominant scenario with 44.73% probability. Detail: Colombia win 44.73%, draw 33.61%, Congo DR win 21.65%. Confidence index: 3.5/10.
Our model identifies a value bet on 1 Domicile (odds 2.37), with an edge of +2.54% — the difference between our calculated probability and the bookmaker's implied probability.
Over 2.5 probability: 17.9% / Under 2.5: 82.1%. Expected xG: Colombia 0.92, Congo DR 0.53.
BTTS Yes: 23.4%. Recent form: Colombia DWDWW, Congo DR LWLD.
The confidence index (out of 10) measures the quality of cross-referenced statistical signals — Dixon-Coles, ELO and Poisson. A score ≥ 7 indicates strong concordant signals. This match scores 3.5/10.
Statistical data for informational purposes only — no result guaranteed. 18+ · Responsible gambling.
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