Compared Statistics
Based on goals, clean sheets and form of the last 10 matches
Algorithmic Probabilities
Recent Form
Club Atlético de Madrid
Villarreal CF
Special Markets
Exact Scores — Top 6
Probabilities calculated by bivariate Poisson model (last 10 matches)
Tendances par mi-temps
Expected Goals (average xG)
Club Atlético de Madrid | Villarreal CF
Stats based on 10 match(es) for Club Atlético de Madrid, 8 match(es) for Villarreal CF
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Club Atlético de Madrid vs Villarreal CF?
Our algorithm gives Club Atlético de Madrid as the dominant scenario with 73.24% probability. Detail: Club Atlético de Madrid win 73.24%, draw 15.09%, Villarreal CF win 11.67%. Confidence index: 10.0/10.
What is the best bet on Club Atlético de Madrid vs Villarreal CF?
Our model identifies a value bet on 1 Domicile (odds 3.38), with an edge of +43.65% — the difference between our calculated probability and the bookmaker's implied probability.
Will there be more than 2.5 goals in this match?
Over 2.5 probability: 60% / Under 2.5: 40%. Expected xG: Club Atlético de Madrid 2.33, Villarreal CF 0.78.
Will both teams score?
BTTS Yes: 47.7%. Recent form: Club Atlético de Madrid LDLWL, Villarreal CF LLLLL.
How to interpret the confidence index?
The confidence index (out of 10) measures the quality of cross-referenced statistical signals — Dixon-Coles, ELO and Poisson. A score ≥ 7 indicates strong concordant signals. This match scores 10.0/10.
Statistical data for informational purposes only — no result guaranteed. 18+ · Responsible gambling.
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