Based on goals, clean sheets and form of the last 10 matches
Chapecoense AF
CR Vasco da Gama
Probabilities calculated by bivariate Poisson model (last 10 matches)
Chapecoense AF | CR Vasco da Gama
Stats based on 10 match(es) for Chapecoense AF, 10 match(es) for CR Vasco da Gama
Our algorithm gives CR Vasco da Gama as the dominant scenario with 41.36% probability. Detail: Chapecoense AF win 30.95%, draw 27.69%, CR Vasco da Gama win 41.36%. Confidence index: 1.0/10.
Our model identifies a value bet on 2 Extérieur (odds 2.56), with an edge of +2.3% — the difference between our calculated probability and the bookmaker's implied probability.
Over 2.5 probability: 31.6% / Under 2.5: 68.4%. Expected xG: Chapecoense AF 0.89, CR Vasco da Gama 1.09.
BTTS Yes: 37.3%. Recent form: Chapecoense AF DLLLL, CR Vasco da Gama DLLLL.
The confidence index (out of 10) measures the quality of cross-referenced statistical signals — Dixon-Coles, ELO and Poisson. A score ≥ 7 indicates strong concordant signals. This match scores 1.0/10.
Statistical data for informational purposes only — no result guaranteed. 18+ · Responsible gambling.
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