Brighton & Hove Albion FC
Brighton & Hove Albion FC
En direct 0 - 0
VS
Premier League Betclic
Aston Villa FC
Aston Villa FC

Compared Statistics

Brighton & Hove Albion FC
Aston Villa FC

Based on goals, clean sheets and form of the last 10 matches

Algorithmic Probabilities

1 — Home
39.19% Odds 2.26 -5.06%
N — Draw
22.87% Odds 3.62 -4.75%
2 — Away
37.94% Odds 3.02 +4.83%

Special Markets

⚽ Number of goals — Over / Under 2.5
📈
Over 2.5
50.7%
📉
Under 2.5
49.3%
🎯 Both teams to score — BTTS
✅
BTTS Oui
53.4%
❌
BTTS Non
46.6%
🛡 Double Chance — Bet on 2 outcomes
1X
62.1%
Brighton & Hove Albion FC ou Nul
X2
60.8%
Nul ou Aston Villa FC
Recommended
12
77.1%
Brighton & Hove Albion FC ou Aston Villa FC

Exact Scores — Top 6

⭐ Top pick
1-1
10.8%
1-0
10.6%
0-1
10.4%
2-1
8.4%
1-2
8.2%
2-0
6.2%

Probabilities calculated by bivariate Poisson model (last 10 matches)

Expected Goals (average xG)

1.36
1.34

Brighton & Hove Albion FC  |  Aston Villa FC

1805
ELO Brighton & Hove Albion FC
Aston Villa FC ELO favourite
1895
ELO Aston Villa FC

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs Aston Villa FC?

Our algorithm gives Brighton & Hove Albion FC as the dominant scenario with 39.19% probability. Detail: Brighton & Hove Albion FC win 39.19%, draw 22.87%, Aston Villa FC win 37.94%. Confidence index: 1.6/10.

What is the best bet on Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs Aston Villa FC?

Our model identifies a value bet on 2 Extérieur (odds 3.02), with an edge of +4.83% — the difference between our calculated probability and the bookmaker's implied probability.

Will there be more than 2.5 goals in this match?

Over 2.5 probability: 50.7% / Under 2.5: 49.3%. Expected xG: Brighton & Hove Albion FC 1.36, Aston Villa FC 1.34.

Will both teams score?

BTTS Yes: 53.4%. Recent form: Brighton & Hove Albion FC , Aston Villa FC .

How to interpret the confidence index?

The confidence index (out of 10) measures the quality of cross-referenced statistical signals — Dixon-Coles, ELO and Poisson. A score ≥ 7 indicates strong concordant signals. This match scores 1.6/10.

Statistical data for informational purposes only — no result guaranteed. 18+ · Responsible gambling.

AI Confidence Index
1.6 /10
Weak signal
Payout simulator
Which outcome do you want to bet on?
The % = our model estimate based on both teams' stats.
€
AI advised stake
—
I stake 20 €
If Win Aston Villa FC — you get back (stake + winnings)
— Net gain
if won
— You lose
if missed

⚠️ Indicative simulation only — no result guaranteed. Please gamble responsibly.

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