Brazil
Brazil
En direct 0 - 0
2-1
Finished
Coupe du Monde Betclic
Japan
Japan

Compared Statistics

Brazil
Japan

Based on goals, clean sheets and form of the last 10 matches

Algorithmic Probabilities

1 — Home
43.49% Odds 2.44 ✓ Correct
N — Draw
21.76% Odds 4.87 +1.23%
2 — Away
34.75% Odds 3.05 +1.96%

Recent Form

Brazil
L W W W D
2.0 goals/match
36% clean sheet
4.5 Momentum
Japan
L D W D
1.9 goals/match
23% clean sheet
2.7 Momentum

Special Markets

⚽ Number of goals — Over / Under 2.5
📈
Over 2.5
✓ Correct
56.1%
📉
Under 2.5
43.9%
🎯 Both teams to score — BTTS
✅
BTTS Oui
✓ Correct
57.5%
❌
BTTS Non
42.5%
🛡 Double Chance — Bet on 2 outcomes
1X
65.3%
Brazil ou Nul
X2
56.5%
Nul ou Japan
✓ Correct
12
78.2%
Brazil ou Japan

Exact Scores — Top 6

✗ Missed
1-1
10%
1-0
9.7%
✓ Correct
2-1
8.9%
0-1
8.7%
1-2
7.8%
2-0
6.5%

Probabilities calculated by bivariate Poisson model (last 10 matches)

Tendances par mi-temps

Brazil
1ère MT 1.1 buts
2ème MT 0.9 buts
〰️ Régulière
Japan
1ère MT 0.8 buts
2ème MT 1.2 buts
📈 Forte en 2ème MT

Expected Goals (average xG)

1.56
1.37

Brazil  |  Japan

1955
ELO Brazil
Brazil ELO favourite
1810
ELO Japan

Stats based on 5 match(es) for Brazil, 4 match(es) for Japan

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Brazil vs Japan?

Our algorithm gives Brazil as the dominant scenario with 43.49% probability. Detail: Brazil win 43.49%, draw 21.76%, Japan win 34.75%. Confidence index: 2.1/10.

What is the best bet on Brazil vs Japan?

Our model identifies a value bet on 1 Domicile (odds 2.44), with an edge of +2.51% — the difference between our calculated probability and the bookmaker's implied probability.

Will there be more than 2.5 goals in this match?

Over 2.5 probability: 56.1% / Under 2.5: 43.9%. Expected xG: Brazil 1.56, Japan 1.37.

Will both teams score?

BTTS Yes: 57.5%. Recent form: Brazil LWWWD, Japan LDWD.

How to interpret the confidence index?

The confidence index (out of 10) measures the quality of cross-referenced statistical signals — Dixon-Coles, ELO and Poisson. A score ≥ 7 indicates strong concordant signals. This match scores 2.1/10.

Statistical data for informational purposes only — no result guaranteed. 18+ · Responsible gambling.

AI Confidence Index
2.1 /10
Weak signal
Payout simulator
Which outcome do you want to bet on?
The % = our model estimate based on both teams' stats.
I stake 20 €
If Win Brazil — you get back (stake + winnings)
— Net gain
if won
— You lose
if missed

⚠️ Indicative simulation only — no result guaranteed. Please gamble responsibly.

Where to bet — Comparison

Betclic
Link not configured 1 Domicile
2.44
Winamax
Link not configured 1 Domicile
2.44
PMU
Link not configured 1 Domicile
2.44

18+ · Gambling involves risks · Gamble responsibly

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