Based on goals, clean sheets and form of the last 10 matches
Botafogo FR
Grêmio FBPA
Probabilities calculated by bivariate Poisson model (last 10 matches)
Botafogo FR | Grêmio FBPA
Stats based on 10 match(es) for Botafogo FR, 10 match(es) for Grêmio FBPA
Our algorithm gives Botafogo FR as the dominant scenario with 53.18% probability. Detail: Botafogo FR win 53.18%, draw 28.1%, Grêmio FBPA win 18.73%. Confidence index: 2.2/10.
Our model identifies a value bet on 1 Domicile (odds 1.99), with an edge of +2.93% — the difference between our calculated probability and the bookmaker's implied probability.
Over 2.5 probability: 25.9% / Under 2.5: 74.1%. Expected xG: Botafogo FR 1.20, Grêmio FBPA 0.56.
BTTS Yes: 28.6%. Recent form: Botafogo FR WDWLD, Grêmio FBPA DLLWD.
The confidence index (out of 10) measures the quality of cross-referenced statistical signals — Dixon-Coles, ELO and Poisson. A score ≥ 7 indicates strong concordant signals. This match scores 2.2/10.
Statistical data for informational purposes only — no result guaranteed. 18+ · Responsible gambling.
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