Botafogo FR
Botafogo FR
En direct 0 - 0
VS
Brasileirao Betclic
Grêmio FBPA
Grêmio FBPA

Compared Statistics

Botafogo FR
Grêmio FBPA

Based on goals, clean sheets and form of the last 10 matches

Algorithmic Probabilities

1 — Home
53.18% Odds 1.99 +2.93%
N — Draw
28.1% Odds 3.77 +1.57%
2 — Away
18.73% Odds 5.66 +1.06%

Recent Form

Botafogo FR
W D W L D
1.4 goals/match
34% clean sheet
8.2 Momentum
-12% Fatigue
Grêmio FBPA
D L L W D
0.9 goals/match
20% clean sheet
1.8 Momentum
-12% Fatigue

Special Markets

⚽ Number of goals — Over / Under 2.5
📈
Over 2.5
25.9%
📉
Under 2.5
74.1%
🎯 Both teams to score — BTTS
BTTS Oui
28.6%
BTTS Non
71.4%
🛡 Double Chance — Bet on 2 outcomes
Recommended
1X
81.3%
Botafogo FR ou Nul
X2
46.8%
Nul ou Grêmio FBPA
12
71.9%
Botafogo FR ou Grêmio FBPA

Exact Scores — Top 6

⭐ Top pick
1-0
22%
0-0
15.8%
2-0
12.4%
0-1
11%
1-1
10.2%
2-1
6.9%

Probabilities calculated by bivariate Poisson model (last 10 matches)

Tendances par mi-temps

Botafogo FR
1ère MT 0.8 buts
2ème MT 0.6 buts
〰️ Régulière
Grêmio FBPA
1ère MT 0.3 buts
2ème MT 0.6 buts
📈 Forte en 2ème MT

Expected Goals (average xG)

1.20
0.56

Botafogo FR  |  Grêmio FBPA

1500
ELO Botafogo FR
ELO balance
1500
ELO Grêmio FBPA

Stats based on 10 match(es) for Botafogo FR, 10 match(es) for Grêmio FBPA

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Botafogo FR vs Grêmio FBPA?

Our algorithm gives Botafogo FR as the dominant scenario with 53.18% probability. Detail: Botafogo FR win 53.18%, draw 28.1%, Grêmio FBPA win 18.73%. Confidence index: 2.2/10.

What is the best bet on Botafogo FR vs Grêmio FBPA?

Our model identifies a value bet on 1 Domicile (odds 1.99), with an edge of +2.93% — the difference between our calculated probability and the bookmaker's implied probability.

Will there be more than 2.5 goals in this match?

Over 2.5 probability: 25.9% / Under 2.5: 74.1%. Expected xG: Botafogo FR 1.20, Grêmio FBPA 0.56.

Will both teams score?

BTTS Yes: 28.6%. Recent form: Botafogo FR WDWLD, Grêmio FBPA DLLWD.

How to interpret the confidence index?

The confidence index (out of 10) measures the quality of cross-referenced statistical signals — Dixon-Coles, ELO and Poisson. A score ≥ 7 indicates strong concordant signals. This match scores 2.2/10.

Statistical data for informational purposes only — no result guaranteed. 18+ · Responsible gambling.

AI Confidence Index
2.2 /10
Weak signal
Payout simulator
Which outcome do you want to bet on?
The % = our model estimate based on both teams' stats.
I stake 20 €
If Win Botafogo FR you get back (stake + winnings)
Net gain
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You lose
if missed

⚠️ Indicative simulation only — no result guaranteed. Please gamble responsibly.

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