Based on goals, clean sheets and form of the last 10 matches
Botafogo FR
Fluminense FC
Probabilities calculated by bivariate Poisson model (last 10 matches)
Botafogo FR | Fluminense FC
Stats based on 10 match(es) for Botafogo FR, 10 match(es) for Fluminense FC
Our algorithm gives Botafogo FR as the dominant scenario with 45.78% probability. Detail: Botafogo FR win 45.78%, draw 25.66%, Fluminense FC win 28.56%. Confidence index: 2.4/10.
Our model identifies a value bet on 1 Domicile (odds 2.68), with an edge of +8.47% — the difference between our calculated probability and the bookmaker's implied probability.
Over 2.5 probability: 36.9% / Under 2.5: 63.1%. Expected xG: Botafogo FR 1.26, Fluminense FC 0.91.
BTTS Yes: 41.3%. Recent form: Botafogo FR WDWLD, Fluminense FC DDDDL.
The confidence index (out of 10) measures the quality of cross-referenced statistical signals — Dixon-Coles, ELO and Poisson. A score ≥ 7 indicates strong concordant signals. This match scores 2.4/10.
Statistical data for informational purposes only — no result guaranteed. 18+ · Responsible gambling.
No tips yet. Be the first! — + Post a tip