Based on goals, clean sheets and form of the last 10 matches
Botafogo FR
EC Vitória
Probabilities calculated by bivariate Poisson model (last 10 matches)
Botafogo FR | EC Vitória
Stats based on 10 match(es) for Botafogo FR, 10 match(es) for EC Vitória
Our algorithm gives Botafogo FR as the dominant scenario with 61.3% probability. Detail: Botafogo FR win 61.3%, draw 18.36%, EC Vitória win 20.34%. Confidence index: 3.2/10.
Our model identifies a value bet on 1 Domicile (odds 1.73), with an edge of +3.5% — the difference between our calculated probability and the bookmaker's implied probability.
Over 2.5 probability: 61.7% / Under 2.5: 38.3%. Expected xG: Botafogo FR 2.09, EC Vitória 1.10.
BTTS Yes: 57.2%. Recent form: Botafogo FR LDWDL, EC Vitória LWLDW.
The confidence index (out of 10) measures the quality of cross-referenced statistical signals — Dixon-Coles, ELO and Poisson. A score ≥ 7 indicates strong concordant signals. This match scores 3.2/10.
Statistical data for informational purposes only — no result guaranteed. 18+ · Responsible gambling.
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